R
Entity profile
Raoul Pal
@RaoulGMI · youtube · 81 claims tracked
CryptoActive
Athena Index
50
Fair→ stable
Macro investor, analyst, and CEO of Real Vision. Personal views on macro, crypto, and AI. Also tracks at Real Vision (@RealVisionFinance).
Scores reflect observed behavior, not opinions. Athena measures, it does not endorse. · Methodology ·
81
Total Claims
70
Evaluated
44
Bullish
2
Bearish
4
Neutral
0
Speculation
Recent Evidence· source-linked claims
OPENBTC
“Bitcoin still outperformed the Nasdaq since the liquidity low in 2022. And it will have its time in the rotation again”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)OPENETH
“what's gonna be higher in a year's time? NVIDIA in terms of percentage gains or Ethereum, Solana, Suite, Bitcoin? It's very hard to argue that NVIDIA doubles from here”
Jun 2026View source (opens in a new tab)OPENSUI
“SUI... we are 1.8 standard deviations oversold. So I like I like this.”
Jun 2026View source (opens in a new tab)Using this record for diligence?
This page is the public view of Raoul Pal's credibility record. A due-diligence brief is the full version for a single entity: the complete source-linked claim ledger, the evidence behind each claim, the outcomes recorded where evidence exists, and the six-pillar breakdown written up for a reader who has to act on it.
$1,000 per entity · one-time · fixed scope · no subscription
Not ready for a brief? Leave an email against Raoul Pal's record; updates are not being sent yet.
The sample is a complete published brief for a tracked entity, not a preview and not a brief for Raoul Pal. Pricing · Methodology
Updates to this credibility recordNot sending yet
Athena is not sending these notifications yet. Leave an email and we'll record it against Raoul Pal's record — new public claims, evaluated outcomes, score movements — and use it the first time updates go out.
One address, one entity. Your address is stored for these updates and nothing else, and anything we do send will carry a one-click unsubscribe link.
Claim Ledger
81 claims on record · showing 50 most recent
○ OPENETH· Ethereum▲ UPMultiplierscore 0/100Jun 25, 2026
“what's gonna be higher in a year's time? NVIDIA in terms of percentage gains or Ethereum, Solana, Suite, Bitcoin? It's very hard to argue that NVIDIA doubles from here”
Jun 25, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 28, 2026
Verified
Timeframeone year
Confidence70%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_vague_tf (timeframe='one year', target=None)
○ OPENSUI▲ UPTechnical Setupscore 0/100Jun 25, 2026
“SUI... we are 1.8 standard deviations oversold. So I like I like this.”
Jun 25, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 28, 2026
Verified
Timeframefrom 1.8 standard deviations oversold
Confidence75%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_vague_tf (timeframe='from 1.8 standard deviations oversold', target=None)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPComparativescore 0/100Jul 9, 2026
“Bitcoin still outperformed the Nasdaq since the liquidity low in 2022. And it will have its time in the rotation again”
Jul 9, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 12, 2026
Verified
Timeframelong-term
Confidence80%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: hype_language (timeframe='long-term', target=None)
○ OPENFART▲ UPExplicitscore 0/100May 7, 2026
“Then the one came after it, Fartcoin came out of the same thing. That was 3 and a half.”
May 7, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Aug 10, 2026
Verified
Target$3,500,000,000
Confidence50%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Price data unavailable
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100May 7, 2026
“I think it's fascinating because if you think of eToro's mission, which is opening the markets for everyone, I think what crypto did, it opened not the markets to be able to trade and invest only, but”
May 7, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Aug 10, 2026
Verified
Confidence50%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100May 7, 2026
“I'm a big fan of everything related from from Bitcoin, to smart contracts and blockchain.”
May 7, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Aug 10, 2026
Verified
Confidence50%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENSOL· Solana▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100May 12, 2026
“I think there's only room for three or four layer ones. We don't need anymore. And the race is who's gonna be the third with Solana and ETH.”
May 12, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Aug 17, 2026
Verified
Confidence50%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENETH· Ethereum▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100May 12, 2026
“I think there's only room for three or four layer ones. We don't need anymore. And the race is who's gonna be the third with Solana and ETH.”
May 12, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Aug 17, 2026
Verified
Confidence50%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENSUI▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100May 12, 2026
“SUI is the intelligence applied to the coordination layer. It is provably the most intelligent intelligency dense, efficient architecture of any blockchain that exists today, which is fantastic.”
May 12, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Aug 17, 2026
Verified
Confidence70%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENSUI▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100May 12, 2026
“SUI is showing extraordinary rates of growth.”
May 12, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Aug 17, 2026
Verified
Confidence70%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
Credibility record
What the Athena Index record shows for Raoul Pal
Athena Index has documented 81 public claims attributed to Raoul Pal. 70 of them have been checked against source-linked outcome evidence. The most frequently referenced subjects in this record are BTC (56), ETH (8), SOL (3).
Athena Index does not publish a score for Raoul Pal yet. Only 7 of the 81 documented claims have produced a scored outcome, leaving this record below the evidence floor Athena requires before publishing a behavioral credibility score. The claim record on this page is still source-linked and inspectable, and a score is published as soon as enough outcome evidence exists.
Of the claims with a resolved outcome, Athena recorded 1 as a hit, 3 as misses and 3 as partial. A further 2 were classified as non-falsifiable speculation and are excluded from outcome scoring.
This credibility record was last evaluated on October 12, 2026 under methodology version v1.29.0. Athena holds 50 append-only score evaluations for this entity, beginning November 11, 2025.
Athena Index documents public claims made by tracked public figures and organizations, links each claim to its source, and evaluates outcomes when evidence becomes available. Every figure on this page is derived from that evidence record. It is a behavioral credibility record, not an endorsement, a popularity ranking, or investment advice.