W
Entity profile
What Bitcoin Did
@WhatBitcoinDid · youtube · 108 claims tracked
CryptoActive
Athena Index
50
Fair→ stable
Peter McCormack's Bitcoin podcast
Scores reflect observed behavior, not opinions. Athena measures, it does not endorse. · Methodology ·
108
Total Claims
94
Evaluated
38
Bullish
9
Bearish
3
Neutral
0
Speculation
Recent Evidence· source-linked claims
PARTIALBTC
“Bitcoin's compound annual from $70,000 a couple of months ago all the way up to a potential cycle high of $400,000”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)MISSBTC
“I said Bitcoin was going to go to 40k... I'd like to revise up my estimate from the last video. I think we're probably going to bottom in the low 50s, high 40s”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)Using this record for diligence?
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Claim Ledger
108 claims on record · showing 50 most recent
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin– NEUTRALExplicitJul 28, 2026
“I think having hit 57.5 or whatever, that's a perfectly reasonable floor for this bear market”
Target$57,500
Confidence70%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitJul 30, 2026
“gold 25,000 Bitcoin whatever 1 million”
Target$1,000,000
Confidence60%
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 0/100Jun 24, 2026
“Bitcoin's going to $3,000,000 a coin”
Jun 24, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 28, 2026
Verified
Target$3,000,000
Timeframelong term
Confidence80%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$60,983→$83,091(target $3,000,000)
Progress:
1%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 0.9%)
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 0/100Jul 1, 2026
“Bitcoin's compound annual from $70,000 a couple of months ago all the way up to a potential cycle high of $400,000”
Jul 1, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 5, 2026
Verified
Target$400,000
Timeframepotential cycle high
Confidence50%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$59,961→$86,174(target $400,000)
Progress:
8%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 8.1%)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPTechnical SetupJul 1, 2026
“Q1 of next year is really going to be the first breakout quarter in my mind for the next Bitcoin bull market”
Jul 1, 2026
Claimed
9mo
Mar 31, 2027
Expected
TimeframeQ1 of next year
Confidence75%
✗ MISSBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Jul 1, 2026
“I said Bitcoin was going to go to 40k... I'd like to revise up my estimate from the last video. I think we're probably going to bottom in the low 50s, high 40s”
Jul 1, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 5, 2026
Verified
Target$40,000
TimeframeOctober or November
Confidence60%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$59,961→$86,174(target $40,000)
Progress:
2%
Auto-evaluated: miss (progress: 2.2%)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100Apr 15, 2026
“I think any adoption of Bitcoin is actually just gonna help The United States.”
Apr 15, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Jul 20, 2026
Verified
Confidence60%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPMultiplierscore 0/100Apr 15, 2026
“But I think Bitcoin is gonna have these, like, moonshots. One one week, it's gonna go 50% up, and then it's gonna find a new level.”
Apr 15, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Jul 20, 2026
Verified
Timeframemoonshots
Confidence70%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: hype_language (timeframe='moonshots', target=None)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100Apr 15, 2026
“So deflation or inflation, Bitcoin wins? Yes. It actually is an inflation hedge and a deflation hedge.”
Apr 15, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Jul 20, 2026
Verified
Confidence90%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPSentimentscore 0/100Apr 15, 2026
“Bitcoin is not gonna do well in those instant crashes, but it will do well in a deflationary environment.”
Apr 15, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Jul 20, 2026
Verified
Timeframein a deflationary environment
Confidence70%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_vague_tf (timeframe='in a deflationary environment', target=None)
Credibility record
What the Athena Index record shows for What Bitcoin Did
Athena Index has documented 108 public claims attributed to What Bitcoin Did. 94 of them have been checked against source-linked outcome evidence. The most frequently referenced subjects in this record are BTC (99), MSTR (3), GOLD (2).
Athena Index does not publish a score for What Bitcoin Did yet. Only 21 of the 108 documented claims have produced a scored outcome, leaving this record below the evidence floor Athena requires before publishing a behavioral credibility score. The claim record on this page is still source-linked and inspectable, and a score is published as soon as enough outcome evidence exists.
Of the claims with a resolved outcome, Athena recorded 7 as hits, 4 as misses and 10 as partial. A further 2 were classified as non-falsifiable speculation and are excluded from outcome scoring.
This credibility record was last evaluated on October 12, 2026 under methodology version v1.29.0. Athena holds 45 append-only score evaluations for this entity, beginning November 11, 2025.
Athena Index documents public claims made by tracked public figures and organizations, links each claim to its source, and evaluates outcomes when evidence becomes available. Every figure on this page is derived from that evidence record. It is a behavioral credibility record, not an endorsement, a popularity ranking, or investment advice.