T
Entity profile
Thinking Crypto
@thinkingcrypto · youtube · 421 claims tracked
CryptoActive
Athena Index
67
Good→ stable
Scores reflect observed behavior, not opinions. Athena measures, it does not endorse. · Methodology ·
421
Total Claims
393
Evaluated
39
Bullish
11
Bearish
0
Neutral
0
Speculation
Recent Evidence· source-linked claims
PARTIALBTC
“the charts are looking pretty good with Bitcoin potentially going to $72,000”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)Using this record for diligence?
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Claim Ledger
421 claims on record · showing 50 most recent
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitOct 12, 2026
“we could see this week Bitcoin start to rally higher. And of course, we're anticipating prices of around 90,000, possibly up to 100,000.”
Target$90,000
Timeframethis week
Confidence60%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitOct 4, 2026
“$92,000 Bitcoin is the next daily target. A push through local highs puts $92,000 in play. The chart says a breakout in the next 48 hours.”
Target$92,000
Timeframenext 48 hours
Confidence60%
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 1/100Jul 30, 2026
“maybe Bitcoin climbs back up to 100K”
Jul 30, 2026
Claimed
2mo
Oct 5, 2026
Verified
Target$100,000
Timeframelate Q3 into Q4
Confidence50%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
1/100Score
Price:$64,722→$83,556(target $100,000)
Progress:
64%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 64.3%)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPTechnical SetupJul 30, 2026
“the very bullish chart...is on the weekly chart for Bitcoin. There is a bullish divergence that's forming, and it's looking really good”
Timeframeweekly chart
Confidence70%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitAug 3, 2026
“I think Bitcoin most likely gets rejected off the 200 day moving average. it rolls over and I think it goes to lower lows... I do think it could go test 50K”
Target$50,000
Timeframeafter rejection at 200-day MA
Confidence70%
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 1/100Jul 18, 2026
“the charts are looking pretty good with Bitcoin potentially going to $72,000”
Jul 18, 2026
Claimed
1mo
Aug 17, 2026
Verified
Target$72,000
Timeframenear term
Confidence70%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
1/100Score
Price:$64,796→$63,499(target $72,000)
Progress:
30%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 29.5%)
✓ HITBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 1/100Jun 19, 2026
“Bitcoin right now, it has pulled back. It's just below $63,000”
Jun 19, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 21, 2026
Verified
Target$63,000
Confidence60%
Evidence
✓Direction
✓Target
✗Timeframe
1/100Score
Price:$63,475→$81,555(target $63,000)
Progress:
100%
Auto-evaluated: hit (progress: 100.0%)
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 1/100Jun 19, 2026
“this could be the black swan event that drives Bitcoin to the ultimate bottom, for this cycle, and that may be 50 k or a little bit below that”
Jun 19, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 21, 2026
Verified
Target$50,000
Timeframeultimate bottom for this cycle
Confidence50%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
1/100Score
Price:$63,475→$81,555(target $50,000)
Progress:
43%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 42.7%)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitJul 13, 2026
“could the four-year cycles continue to play out where Bitcoin does another flush down, maybe to the low 50s”
Jul 13, 2026
Claimed
6mo
Dec 31, 2026
Expected
Target$52,500
Timeframelater this year
Confidence50%
✓ HITBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 1/100Jun 25, 2026
“Maybe Bitcoin rallies back up to 80 something k or so”
Jun 25, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 28, 2026
Verified
Target$80,000
TimeframeJuly if Clarity Act passes
Confidence50%
Evidence
✓Direction
✓Target
✓Timeframe
1/100Score
Price:$59,704→$83,110(target $80,000)
Progress:
100%
Auto-evaluated: hit (progress: 100.0%)
Credibility record
What the Athena Index record shows for Thinking Crypto
Athena Index has documented 421 public claims attributed to Thinking Crypto. 393 of them have been checked against source-linked outcome evidence. The most frequently referenced subjects in this record are BTC (245), ETH (53), XRP (52).
The Athena Index for Thinking Crypto is 67 out of 100. It was computed under methodology version v1.29.0. Confidence in this score is rated high: based on 84 scored claims and 81 behavioral signals over multiple market cycles. The Athena Index is not a measure of prediction accuracy. Outcome alignment carries 22% of the weight; the remaining 78% comes from specificity quality, consistency, transparency, accountability and calibration. Among the 199 entities currently ranked on all-time score, Thinking Crypto sits at position 20.
Across the six pillars, the strongest signal in this record is Transparency (86/100) and the weakest is Outcome Alignment (51/100). The strongest individual behavioral signal is how often claims are backed by external sources. The weakest is depth and quality of reasoning provided.
Of the claims with a resolved outcome, Athena recorded 29 as hits, 15 as misses and 41 as partial. A further 16 were classified as non-falsifiable speculation and are excluded from outcome scoring.
This credibility record was last evaluated on October 12, 2026 under methodology version v1.29.0. Athena holds 51 append-only score evaluations for this entity, beginning November 11, 2025.
Athena Index documents public claims made by tracked public figures and organizations, links each claim to its source, and evaluates outcomes when evidence becomes available. Every figure on this page is derived from that evidence record. It is a behavioral credibility record, not an endorsement, a popularity ranking, or investment advice.