T
Entity profile
The Moon
@TheMoonCarl · youtube · 577 claims tracked
CryptoActive
Athena Index
67
Good→ stable
Bitcoin analysis
Scores reflect observed behavior, not opinions. Athena measures, it does not endorse. · Methodology ·
577
Total Claims
513
Evaluated
27
Bullish
23
Bearish
0
Neutral
0
Speculation
Recent Evidence· source-linked claims
HITBTC
“that gives us a target for Bitcoin at 75.7 thousand dollars”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)HITBTC
“I think the weekly bullish divergence will send Bitcoin back up to 85 90,000 dollars within 1 or 2 months”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)OPENSOL
“Solana is attempting to break out from this huge falling wedge pattern”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)Using this record for diligence?
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Claim Ledger
577 claims on record · showing 50 most recent
○ OPENETH· Ethereum▲ UPExplicitOct 10, 2026
“I think Ethereum can reach $15,000”
Target$15,000
Confidence70%
○ OPENSOL· Solana▼ DOWNExplicitOct 11, 2026
“I'm open for getting a trade along if we sweep this low to $100. So, 105 to $100 is an absolutely amazing level”
Target$100.00
Timeframeif BTC drops
Confidence50%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitOct 11, 2026
“I do think Bitcoin is still going to be more probable to continue higher breach $90,000 and maybe even 96K in the next few weeks or months”
Target$90,000
Timeframenext few weeks or months
Confidence60%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitOct 2, 2026
“I don't think we will ever see Bitcoin go down to 41K again”
Target$41,000
Confidence80%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitOct 2, 2026
“if we were to see the same right now, let's say we see the same as last cycle, 25%. That could take Bitcoin back down to $63,000”
Target$63,000
Timeframeif 25% selloff occurs
Confidence40%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitOct 3, 2026
“let's say we do see Bitcoin pump here, like I said, up to maybe 110k”
Target$110,000
Confidence50%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitOct 3, 2026
“if Bitcoin wants to drop below 84K we look for a deviation at 82K for a potential long”
Target$82,000
Timeframeif drops below $84K
Confidence50%
○ OPENLINK▲ UPTechnical SetupJul 27, 2026
“Chainlink is also looking super juicy with a beautiful bullish divergence”
Confidence70%
○ OPENSUI▲ UPMultiplierJul 27, 2026
“Sui is one of those tokens that's going to absolutely skyrocket when Ethereum starts running”
Timeframewhen Ethereum starts running
Confidence70%
○ OPENDOGE▲ UPTechnical SetupJul 27, 2026
“Dogecoin is massively undervalued and could get a super super bullish breakout in the next few weeks”
Timeframein the next few weeks
Confidence75%
Credibility record
What the Athena Index record shows for The Moon
Athena Index has documented 577 public claims attributed to The Moon. 513 of them have been checked against source-linked outcome evidence. The most frequently referenced subjects in this record are BTC (432), ETH (83), SOL (16).
The Athena Index for The Moon is 67 out of 100. It was computed under methodology version v1.29.0. Confidence in this score is rated high: based on 229 scored claims and 81 behavioral signals over multiple market cycles. The Athena Index is not a measure of prediction accuracy. Outcome alignment carries 22% of the weight; the remaining 78% comes from specificity quality, consistency, transparency, accountability and calibration. Among the 199 entities currently ranked on all-time score, The Moon sits at position 24.
Across the six pillars, the strongest signal in this record is Transparency (83/100) and the weakest is Consistency (51/100). The strongest individual behavioral signal is how often claims are backed by external sources. The weakest is depth and quality of reasoning provided.
Of the claims with a resolved outcome, Athena recorded 119 as hits, 19 as misses and 92 as partial. A further 18 were classified as non-falsifiable speculation and are excluded from outcome scoring.
This credibility record was last evaluated on October 12, 2026 under methodology version v1.29.0. Athena holds 50 append-only score evaluations for this entity, beginning November 11, 2025.
Athena Index documents public claims made by tracked public figures and organizations, links each claim to its source, and evaluates outcomes when evidence becomes available. Every figure on this page is derived from that evidence record. It is a behavioral credibility record, not an endorsement, a popularity ranking, or investment advice.