I
Entity profile
Ivan on Tech
@ivanontech · youtube · 352 claims tracked
CryptoActive
Athena Index
68
Good→ stable
Blockchain developer and educator
Scores reflect observed behavior, not opinions. Athena measures, it does not endorse. · Methodology ·
352
Total Claims
313
Evaluated
26
Bullish
21
Bearish
3
Neutral
0
Speculation
Recent Evidence· source-linked claims
OPENBTC
“For Bitcoin in the short term, this is good. For Bitcoin in the short term, it means that potentially 200 week moving average is going to hold as support”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)PARTIALBTC
“bum Valhalla, 2027, go to alltime high. Bitcoin 500K, 600K”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)OPENETH
“whales are positioning bullish. you have 63 million 40x long, 40 54 million 10x long. So that's on ETH”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)Using this record for diligence?
This page is the public view of Ivan on Tech's credibility record. A due-diligence brief is the full version for a single entity: the complete source-linked claim ledger, the evidence behind each claim, the outcomes recorded where evidence exists, and the six-pillar breakdown written up for a reader who has to act on it.
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Claim Ledger
352 claims on record · showing 50 most recent
○ OPENSOL· Solana▼ DOWNExplicitJul 28, 2026
“Solana shorts is very bad. It can easily go down here into 30s”
Target$30.00
Confidence60%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPTechnical Setupscore 0/100Jul 31, 2026
“For Bitcoin in the short term, this is good. For Bitcoin in the short term, it means that potentially 200 week moving average is going to hold as support”
Jul 31, 2026
Claimed
1mo
Aug 31, 2026
Verified
Timeframeshort term
Confidence60%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: hype_language (timeframe='short term', target=None)
✗ MISSSOL· Solana▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Jun 25, 2026
“Looking at Solana, looking at different alts, we have Sol. I mean, consolidating a bit, kind of wanting to take the next leg down into our fantastic fantastic, buy zone right here over our thirties.”
Jun 25, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 28, 2026
Verified
Target$35.00
Confidence65%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$67.62→$118.76(target $35.00)
Progress:
6%
Auto-evaluated: miss (progress: 5.5%)
✗ MISSBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Jun 26, 2026
“Should sailor get sued? Should anything bad happen? Sailor maybe sells Bitcoin into into low demand market and we'll go to 40 k.”
Jun 26, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 28, 2026
Verified
Target$40,000
Timeframeif Saylor sells billions
Confidence60%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$60,003→$83,128(target $40,000)
Progress:
11%
Auto-evaluated: miss (progress: 11.4%)
✗ MISSBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Jun 26, 2026
“This will bring Bitcoin price even lower to below 20 ks figures”
Jun 26, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Sep 28, 2026
Verified
Target$20,000
Timeframeafter Saylor sells Bitcoin
Confidence40%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$60,003→$83,128(target $20,000)
Progress:
6%
Auto-evaluated: miss (progress: 5.7%)
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Jul 6, 2026
“big big risk for Bitcoin that this is going to be a rejection down towards the 50s, down towards the 40s”
Jul 6, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 5, 2026
Verified
Target$55,000
Timeframeelevated risk short-term
Confidence60%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$64,002→$86,174(target $55,000)
Progress:
28%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 28.3%)
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Jul 6, 2026
“there's a big big risk for Bitcoin that this is going to be a rejection down towards the 50s, down towards the 40s”
Jul 6, 2026
Claimed
1mo
Aug 10, 2026
Verified
Target$55,000
Timeframeelevated risk in near term
Confidence60%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$64,002→$64,603(target $55,000)
Progress:
28%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 28.3%)
○ OPENETH· Ethereum▲ UPMultiplierscore 0/100Jul 7, 2026
“whales are positioning bullish. you have 63 million 40x long, 40 54 million 10x long. So that's on ETH”
Jul 7, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 12, 2026
Verified
Confidence50%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
~ PARTIALBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 0/100Jul 8, 2026
“bum Valhalla, 2027, go to alltime high. Bitcoin 500K, 600K”
Jul 8, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 12, 2026
Verified
Target$500,000
Timeframe2027 all-time high
Confidence70%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$62,238→$84,035(target $500,000)
Progress:
6%
Auto-evaluated: partial (progress: 5.7%)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin– NEUTRALTechnical SetupJul 8, 2026
“Bitcoin is around 200E moving average. We're bouncing around here, a bit above, a bit below.”
Jul 8, 2026
Claimed
3.8yr
May 8, 2030
Expected
Timeframecurrently around 200 week MA
Confidence70%
Credibility record
What the Athena Index record shows for Ivan on Tech
Athena Index has documented 352 public claims attributed to Ivan on Tech. 313 of them have been checked against source-linked outcome evidence. The most frequently referenced subjects in this record are BTC (232), ETH (35), SOL (22).
The Athena Index for Ivan on Tech is 68 out of 100. It was computed under methodology version v1.29.0. Confidence in this score is rated high: based on 67 scored claims and 85 behavioral signals over multiple market cycles. The Athena Index is not a measure of prediction accuracy. Outcome alignment carries 22% of the weight; the remaining 78% comes from specificity quality, consistency, transparency, accountability and calibration. Among the 199 entities currently ranked on all-time score, Ivan on Tech sits at position 16.
Across the six pillars, the strongest signal in this record is Accountability (88/100) and the weakest is Consistency (50/100). The strongest individual behavioral signal is how often claims are backed by external sources. The weakest is encouragement of independent verification.
Of the claims with a resolved outcome, Athena recorded 13 as hits, 9 as misses and 55 as partial. A further 25 were classified as non-falsifiable speculation and are excluded from outcome scoring.
This credibility record was last evaluated on October 12, 2026 under methodology version v1.29.0. Athena holds 50 append-only score evaluations for this entity, beginning November 11, 2025.
Athena Index documents public claims made by tracked public figures and organizations, links each claim to its source, and evaluates outcomes when evidence becomes available. Every figure on this page is derived from that evidence record. It is a behavioral credibility record, not an endorsement, a popularity ranking, or investment advice.