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Evaluating credibility as behavior, not belief.

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Home/Benchmarks

Market Benchmarks

Do crypto influencers actually beat buy-and-hold? We measure every verified prediction against its relevant baseline—so you can see who generates real alpha and who is just riding the market.

A prediction outperforms when the called asset moved more favourably than holding BTC over the same period. Win rate and average edge are calculated only on evaluated (resolved) predictions.

Who Beats Buy-and-Hold BTC?

Benchmark data refreshed weekly · Only resolved predictions are counted · Methodology