A
Entity profile
Alessio Rastani
@AlessioRastani · youtube · 63 claims tracked
CryptoActive
Athena Index
50
Fair→ stable
Macro trading analysis
Scores reflect observed behavior, not opinions. Athena measures, it does not endorse. · Methodology ·
63
Total Claims
59
Evaluated
27
Bullish
20
Bearish
3
Neutral
0
Speculation
Recent Evidence· source-linked claims
HITBTC
“there is a likelihood perhaps that Bitcoin may even interact and touch that level... in the 70k to 75k range if we get there in the next several months”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)HITBTC
“there's potential for bulls to remain in control here, and potentially push the Bitcoin price a bit further higher towards... a move to the 21 weekly average, this blue line, which is approximately ne”
Jul 2026View source (opens in a new tab)OPENBTC
“There are strong signs that bitcoin is likely oversold and overstretched, as well as reaching some key levels.”
Feb 2026View source (opens in a new tab)Using this record for diligence?
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Claim Ledger
63 claims on record · showing 50 most recent
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitOct 3, 2026
“Bitcoin could see a rally back up to 77K and even 82K based on the trend line break”
Target$82,000
Confidence60%
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitOct 3, 2026
“I actually mentioned that Bitcoin could see a rally back up to 77K and even 82K based on the trend line break”
Target$77,000
Confidence60%
○ OPENSPACEX▼ DOWNTechnical SetupJul 27, 2026
“if SpaceX continues to decline and drop further lower, then that lower part of the regression channel, and I would say a hundred level”
Timeframeif continues to decline
Confidence50%
✓ HITBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 1/100Jul 10, 2026
“there is a likelihood perhaps that Bitcoin may even interact and touch that level... in the 70k to 75k range if we get there in the next several months”
Jul 10, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 12, 2026
Verified
Target$72,500
Timeframenext several months
Confidence50%
Evidence
✓Direction
✓Target
✓Timeframe
1/100Score
Price:$64,128→$84,020(target $72,500)
Progress:
100%
Auto-evaluated: hit (progress: 100.0%)
✓ HITBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 1/100Jul 10, 2026
“there's potential for bulls to remain in control here, and potentially push the Bitcoin price a bit further higher towards... a move to the 21 weekly average, this blue line, which is approximately ne”
Jul 10, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Oct 12, 2026
Verified
Target$70,000
Timeframenext several weeks
Confidence60%
Evidence
✓Direction
✓Target
✓Timeframe
1/100Score
Price:$64,128→$84,020(target $70,000)
Progress:
100%
Auto-evaluated: hit (progress: 100.0%)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Jan 25, 2026
“This is NOT what I wanted to see on Bitcoin”
Jan 25, 2026
Claimed
3mo
Apr 29, 2026
Verified
Confidence70%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$86,562→$77,651
Progress:
10%
Backfill v1.19: no_target_no_timeframe
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 0/100Feb 13, 2026
“There are strong signs that bitcoin is likely oversold and overstretched, as well as reaching some key levels.”
Feb 13, 2026
Claimed
3mo
May 18, 2026
Verified
Confidence70%
Evidence
✗Direction
—Target
—Timeframe
0/100Score
Excluded: no_target_no_timeframe (timeframe=None, target=None)
○ OPENBTC· Bitcoin– NEUTRALExplicitscore 0/100Mar 5, 2020
“I am doubtful that this gap is gonna get filled anytime soon I would be surprised if this gap got filled in next few weeks”
Mar 5, 2020
Claimed
6.2yr
Apr 29, 2026
Verified
Timeframeanytime soon
Confidence70%
Evidence
✗Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$9,070→$6,875
Backfill v1.19: hype_language
✗ MISSBTC· Bitcoin▼ DOWNExplicitscore 0/100Mar 5, 2020
“over the next year there is about an 8% drop on average in the stock market”
Mar 5, 2020
Claimed
6.0yr
Mar 6, 2026
Verified
Timeframeover the next year
Confidence70%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$9,052→$46,214
Auto-evaluated: miss (progress: 0.0%)
✗ MISSBTC· Bitcoin▲ UPExplicitscore 0/100Mar 5, 2020
“within the next 30 days there's a positive bias or shall we say results in a stock market one on average the market seems to rise over the next 30 days”
Mar 5, 2020
Claimed
6.0yr
Mar 6, 2026
Verified
Timeframewithin the next 30 days
Confidence60%
Evidence
✓Direction
✗Target
✗Timeframe
0/100Score
Price:$9,070→$6,875
Auto-evaluated: miss (progress: 0.0%)
Credibility record
What the Athena Index record shows for Alessio Rastani
Athena Index has documented 63 public claims attributed to Alessio Rastani. 59 of them have been checked against source-linked outcome evidence. The most frequently referenced subjects in this record are BTC (55), DASH (3), XMR (2).
Athena Index does not publish a score for Alessio Rastani yet. Only 24 of the 63 documented claims have produced a scored outcome, leaving this record below the evidence floor Athena requires before publishing a behavioral credibility score. The claim record on this page is still source-linked and inspectable, and a score is published as soon as enough outcome evidence exists.
Of the claims with a resolved outcome, Athena recorded 17 as hits, 4 as misses and 3 as partial. A further 4 were classified as non-falsifiable speculation and are excluded from outcome scoring.
This credibility record was last evaluated on October 12, 2026 under methodology version v1.29.0. Athena holds 50 append-only score evaluations for this entity, beginning November 11, 2025.
Athena Index documents public claims made by tracked public figures and organizations, links each claim to its source, and evaluates outcomes when evidence becomes available. Every figure on this page is derived from that evidence record. It is a behavioral credibility record, not an endorsement, a popularity ranking, or investment advice.